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Cost projection

Estimated monthly infrastructure and development AI spend today (beta) vs at 10k daily active users.

These figures are estimates based on public vendor pricing and traffic assumptions, not actual invoices. Use them for planning and capacity discussions. For the full service inventory, see Services & vendors.

Infrastructure costs (hosting, databases, SaaS) and development AI tooling (Cursor, Claude, Codex, PR review) are shown separately — dev tools scale with team size, not traveler DAU.

ScenarioAssumptions
Today (beta)~500–2k DAU, ~50 active partners, four deploys/day, Neon already on a paid tier, Clerk on base plan
At volume (10k DAU)10k DAU × 6 page views ≈ 1.8M page views/month; ~3 PostHog events per session; proportional Workers CPU, Turso auth traffic, R2 media, Mailgun magic links; partner count stays well below 10k in Ireland

Not every line item scales with traveler traffic. Partner tools (Clerk, listing AI, dashboard map APIs) grow with partner activity. Traveler-facing costs (Workers, Turso, PostHog, image transforms) grow with DAU.

Stripe transaction fees scale with gross merchandise volume (GMV) and are excluded from the infra totals below. Partner subscription revenue is separate from platform running costs.

ServiceBilling modelToday (est.)10k DAU (est.)What drives the delta
Cloudflare WorkersUsage (requests + CPU)€5–15€40–120SSR requests on frontend + dashboard
Cloudflare R2 + Image ResizingStorage + transforms€5–20€50–120R2 storage grows slowly; image transforms on the frontend scale with page views at 10k DAU
Fly.io (Directus + Chatwoot)Always-on VMs€30–60€60–120Two containers; may need larger machines at volume
Neon PostgresUsage (compute + storage)€30–50€35–80Directus + Chatwoot databases — already on a paid tier today; modest growth at 10k DAU (content is build-time, not per-page)
TursoUsage (rows read/written)€0–10€25–50Traveler auth sessions, favorites, planner
Upstash RedisUsage€5–15€15–35Chatwoot Sidekiq today; Directus cache/queue via Upstash planned — adds cost later
ClerkBase plan (MAU)€25€25–35Partner auth — base tier covers us; Ireland partner count stays well under 10k
Stripe% of GMV% of GMV% of GMVPer-transaction; grows with booking roadmap
PostHogEvents€0–20€80–200Page views, listing analytics, funnels
MailgunEmails sent€5–15€30–60Magic links, booking confirmations (future)
OpenAI — listing translationsTokens (partners)€10–30€15–40Partner-only — listing translations and rewrites in the dashboard; scales with partner activity, not traveler DAU
OpenAI — frontend AI chat (roadmap)Tokens (travelers)€0€50–200Planned — in-app AI chat on soultales.com; scales with traveler usage at volume
OpenRouteService / Google APIsAPI calls (dashboard)€5–15€10–25Dashboard only — routes and Places when partners add listings or holidays; low volume, not tied to traveler traffic
Cloudflare Pages + KVLow flat/usage€0–5€5–15Docs hosting, dashboard session KV
GitHub ActionsFree tier€0€0–20May exceed free minutes at heavy CI
Temps (roadmap)Fly.io + Postgres€15–30€20–40Self-hosted on Fly.io with its own database — VM + storage; log and error volume grows with traffic
App staging (roadmap)See staging section below+€5–15+€10–25Incremental on top of production; helpdesk not duplicated
Total (infra)~€135–310/mo~€470–1,240/moExcludes Stripe %, revenue, dev AI tooling, staging (until deployed), and excluded items below

The tables above cover current production services and planned items we can size today. The following roadmap platforms have separate hosting and vendor costs not yet included — budgets for these will be added once architecture and vendor choices are final:

PlatformStatusWhy excluded
Ticket / booking systemRoadmap (Stripe Connect)Native checkout, payouts, and ticket validation — separate infra on top of existing Stripe integration
Email marketing platformRoadmap (TBD)Location-aware campaigns for travelers in Ireland — vendor and hosting not selected yet

See Roadmap items 5 and 8 for scope. Mailgun in the table above covers transactional email today (magic links, notifications) — not marketing campaigns.

Not deployed yet — planned in Roadmap item 1. Figures are extra monthly cost on top of production, for app staging only (frontend, dashboard, Directus). Helpdesk stays on production.

Assumptions: Neon branch for Directus data (within included branch quota on Launch), second Fly.io app for staging Directus with min_machines_running = 0, separate Turso DB and R2 bucket, Clerk/Stripe test mode, light staging traffic on Workers.

ComponentIncremental (scale-to-zero staging)Notes
Fly.io staging Directus€1–5/moCompute only while testing; small volume storage ~€0.15–0.50/mo when suspended
Neon staging branch€0–3/moBranch fee usually €0; CU-hours only when Directus or migrations hit the branch
Cloudflare Workers (×2)€0–3/moNegligible at beta staging traffic
KV, Turso, R2€0–1/moExtra namespaces/DB/bucket within existing tiers
Clerk / Stripe test€0Test instances
Total incremental~€5–15/moRecommended configuration
ScenarioIncremental monthly cost
Recommended — scale-to-zero staging Directus, Neon branch~€5–15
Staging Directus always-on (min_machines_running = 1)~€15–25
Heavy daily staging usage (frequent builds, media uploads)~€30–45
+ Helpdesk staging (not planned)+€35–70

With recommended app staging, total infra rises from ~€135–310/mo to roughly ~€140–325/mo (4–6% increase). Production Directus today uses min_machines_running = 1 (€10–11/mo); staging can stay cheaper by suspending when idle.

See Environments for planned URLs, architecture, and deploy flow.

These are development costs for a fully equipped full-time engineer (FTE), not production infrastructure. Each FTE runs the top individual tier on Cursor, Codex, and Claude — plus a per-seat AI code review subscription. See AI development and the roadmap.

Assumed team size: 1 FTE today, 2 FTE at 10k DAU — headcount grows slowly; traveler traffic does not multiply IDE subscriptions.

ToolBillingPer FTE (est.)Today (1 FTE)10k DAU (2 FTE)What it covers
Cursor Pro+Subscription€55/mo€55€110Top IDE tier — agents, unlimited tab, 3× usage credits (~$60/mo)
OpenAI Codex ProSubscription (Pro 20×)€185/mo€185€370Top Codex tier — maximum cloud agent sessions (~$200/mo)
Claude MaxSubscription€90/mo€90€180Max tier — Claude Code, highest individual usage allowance
AI code reviewPer seat€25/mo€25€50Automated review on every pull request — billed per seat, not per repo
Total (dev AI)~€355/mo per FTE~€355/mo~€710/moScales with FTE count, not DAU
Today (est.)10k DAU (est.)
Infrastructure~€135–310/mo~€470–1,240/mo
Development AI (1–2 FTE)~€355/mo~€710/mo
Total~€490–665/mo~€1,180–1,950/mo

A fully loaded FTE AI stack (~€355/mo) is still far below contractor or agency rates for the same output — agents implement and review under documented platform standards, so human time goes to product decisions rather than repetitive coding.

Several architectural choices keep the cost curve sub-linear as traffic grows:

  • Neon scale-to-zero — Postgres compute idles when Directus and Chatwoot are quiet, but both databases already sit on a paid tier in production.
  • R2 zero egress to Workers — media delivery does not add bandwidth surcharges.
  • Static-first frontend — travelers browse pre-built pages; no per-page CMS database queries.
  • OSS where it counts — Directus and Chatwoot have no per-seat license fees; we pay for hosting only.
  • Better Auth on Turso — traveler auth avoids per-seat SaaS pricing as the user base grows.
  • Neon branching for staging — isolated Directus data without duplicating full Postgres storage; staging compute scales to zero when nobody is testing.
  • Scale-to-zero staging Directus — only Fly.io component that would add meaningful cost; suspending idle machines keeps staging in the ~€5–15/mo band.

See Platform stack for the full rationale behind each service choice.

  • Services & vendors — authoritative per-package vendor list
  • Platform stack — scalability and cost philosophy
  • AI development — why dev AI tooling lowers feature cost
  • Environments — production URLs and planned staging architecture
  • Roadmap — planned staging, Temps logging, booking, email marketing, frontend AI chat, and more